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AA-WP-2018-001

AA-WP-2018-001
  • Version
  • 391 Downloads
  • 113.40 KB File Size
  • 2 File Count
  • March 31, 2018 Create Date
  • June 5, 2019 Last Updated
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A Risk Review of Urban Mobility Vehicle Concepts: Applying the Evolutionary Lessons of the Past to the Future

Extract:

At the start of any technological or market revolution, there is an evolutionary explosion of ideas and concepts. This can be conceptualized similarly to the Cambrian Explosion of 541 million years ago. Over time the many genetic variations are naturally selected until only the variations that naturally suit their environment or are able to adapt to their environment survive.

This effect can be observed to a lesser or greater extent when any technological breakthrough is developed in a relatively free market.

Phase 1:

Many organizations will evolve many different designs which will be tested in the market and regulatory environments. Over time different archetypes made by several manufacturers will survive the natural selection process.

Phase 2:

In the long term, these organizations will grow their market share, reduce in number through consolidation and will stabilize as two or more large organizations.

These two phases can be characterized as ‘Conceptual Cull’ and ‘Corporate Consolidation’.

This white paper is concerned with the ‘Conceptual Cull’ phase.

This paper is not entirely scientific in nature. Where possible empirical assessments are made. These assessments are combined with the informed experience of the author and the reviewers in order to draw rational conclusions.

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AA-WP-2018-001 A Risk Review of Urban Mobility Vehicle Concepts.pdfDownload 
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AA-WP-2018-001

AA-WP-2018-001
  • Version
  • 391 Downloads
  • 113.40 KB File Size
  • 2 File Count
  • March 31, 2018 Create Date
  • June 5, 2019 Last Updated
Scroll for Details

A Risk Review of Urban Mobility Vehicle Concepts: Applying the Evolutionary Lessons of the Past to the Future

Extract:

At the start of any technological or market revolution, there is an evolutionary explosion of ideas and concepts. This can be conceptualized similarly to the Cambrian Explosion of 541 million years ago. Over time the many genetic variations are naturally selected until only the variations that naturally suit their environment or are able to adapt to their environment survive.

This effect can be observed to a lesser or greater extent when any technological breakthrough is developed in a relatively free market.

Phase 1:

Many organizations will evolve many different designs which will be tested in the market and regulatory environments. Over time different archetypes made by several manufacturers will survive the natural selection process.

Phase 2:

In the long term, these organizations will grow their market share, reduce in number through consolidation and will stabilize as two or more large organizations.

These two phases can be characterized as ‘Conceptual Cull’ and ‘Corporate Consolidation’.

This white paper is concerned with the ‘Conceptual Cull’ phase.

This paper is not entirely scientific in nature. Where possible empirical assessments are made. These assessments are combined with the informed experience of the author and the reviewers in order to draw rational conclusions.

FileAction
AA-WP-2018-001 A Risk Review of Urban Mobility Vehicle Concepts.pdfDownload 
AA-WP-2018-001 SPREADSHEET TOOL.xlsxDownload 
16,892 Documents in our Technical Library
1104795 Total Downloads

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Newest Additions

AA-SM-291
AA-SM-290 – Lap Splice Load Distribution. Free Engineering Spreadsheet In association ...
AA-SM-290
AA-SM-290 – Doubler Load Distribution. Free Engineering Spreadsheet In association with ...
AA-SM-026-122
AA-SM-026-122 Beam Analysis – Compression Flexure – Fixed One End, ...
AA-SM-026-121
AA-SM-026-121 Beam Analysis – Compression Flexure – Fixed One End, ...
AA-SM-026-120
AA-SM-026-120 Beam Analysis – Compression Flexure – Fixed Both Ends, ...