17,003 Documents in our Technical Library
1441704 Total Downloads

Newest Additions

ADPO10769 Occurrence of Corrosion in Airframes
The purpose of this lecture is to provide an overview ...
MIL-STD-1759 Rivets and Rivet Type Fasteners Preferred for Design
The purpose of this book form standard is to provide ...
MIL-STD-810G Environmental Engineering Considerations and Laboratory Tests
This standard contains materiel acquisition program planning and engineering direction ...
MIL-R-7885D General Specification for Rivets, Blind, Structural, Mechanically Locked Spindle and Friction Locked Spindle
This specification covers mechanically locked spindle and  friction locked spindle ...
MIL-HDBK-132A Protective Finishes for Metal and Wood Surfaces
The primary object of this handbook is to provide a ...

AA-WP-2018-001

AA-WP-2018-001
  • Version
  • 549 Downloads
  • 113.40 KB File Size
  • 2 File Count
  • March 31, 2018 Create Date
  • June 5, 2019 Last Updated
Scroll for Details

A Risk Review of Urban Mobility Vehicle Concepts: Applying the Evolutionary Lessons of the Past to the Future

Extract:

At the start of any technological or market revolution, there is an evolutionary explosion of ideas and concepts. This can be conceptualized similarly to the Cambrian Explosion of 541 million years ago. Over time the many genetic variations are naturally selected until only the variations that naturally suit their environment or are able to adapt to their environment survive.

This effect can be observed to a lesser or greater extent when any technological breakthrough is developed in a relatively free market.

Phase 1:

Many organizations will evolve many different designs which will be tested in the market and regulatory environments. Over time different archetypes made by several manufacturers will survive the natural selection process.

Phase 2:

In the long term, these organizations will grow their market share, reduce in number through consolidation and will stabilize as two or more large organizations.

These two phases can be characterized as ‘Conceptual Cull’ and ‘Corporate Consolidation’.

This white paper is concerned with the ‘Conceptual Cull’ phase.

This paper is not entirely scientific in nature. Where possible empirical assessments are made. These assessments are combined with the informed experience of the author and the reviewers in order to draw rational conclusions.

Comment On This Post

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

FileAction
AA-WP-2018-001 A Risk Review of Urban Mobility Vehicle Concepts.pdfDownload 
AA-WP-2018-001 SPREADSHEET TOOL.xlsxDownload 

AA-WP-2018-001

AA-WP-2018-001
  • Version
  • 549 Downloads
  • 113.40 KB File Size
  • 2 File Count
  • March 31, 2018 Create Date
  • June 5, 2019 Last Updated
Scroll for Details

A Risk Review of Urban Mobility Vehicle Concepts: Applying the Evolutionary Lessons of the Past to the Future

Extract:

At the start of any technological or market revolution, there is an evolutionary explosion of ideas and concepts. This can be conceptualized similarly to the Cambrian Explosion of 541 million years ago. Over time the many genetic variations are naturally selected until only the variations that naturally suit their environment or are able to adapt to their environment survive.

This effect can be observed to a lesser or greater extent when any technological breakthrough is developed in a relatively free market.

Phase 1:

Many organizations will evolve many different designs which will be tested in the market and regulatory environments. Over time different archetypes made by several manufacturers will survive the natural selection process.

Phase 2:

In the long term, these organizations will grow their market share, reduce in number through consolidation and will stabilize as two or more large organizations.

These two phases can be characterized as ‘Conceptual Cull’ and ‘Corporate Consolidation’.

This white paper is concerned with the ‘Conceptual Cull’ phase.

This paper is not entirely scientific in nature. Where possible empirical assessments are made. These assessments are combined with the informed experience of the author and the reviewers in order to draw rational conclusions.

FileAction
AA-WP-2018-001 A Risk Review of Urban Mobility Vehicle Concepts.pdfDownload 
AA-WP-2018-001 SPREADSHEET TOOL.xlsxDownload 
17,003 Documents in our Technical Library
1441704 Total Downloads

Search The Technical Library

Newest Additions

ADPO10769 Occurrence of Corrosion in Airframes
The purpose of this lecture is to provide an overview ...
MIL-STD-1759 Rivets and Rivet Type Fasteners Preferred for Design
The purpose of this book form standard is to provide ...
MIL-STD-810G Environmental Engineering Considerations and Laboratory Tests
This standard contains materiel acquisition program planning and engineering direction ...
MIL-R-7885D General Specification for Rivets, Blind, Structural, Mechanically Locked Spindle and Friction Locked Spindle
This specification covers mechanically locked spindle and  friction locked spindle ...
MIL-HDBK-132A Protective Finishes for Metal and Wood Surfaces
The primary object of this handbook is to provide a ...